← The Card Shop RDO Grand Archive Store Championship
Water FractalTier 1
at The Card Shop RDO Grand Archive Store Championship
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.9%
avg ELO +9.1 per match
expected value
56.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1313
· median 1313
· range 1313–1313
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1199
Q3 1317
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 19.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
